Jamie Pentagulio

The BLS released November PPI today. The all commodities index increased 0.3% in the last month and decreased 1.4% in the last twelve months. Farm products saw a 3.1% increase from October 2020 and increased 4.2% since November 2019. Processed foods and feeds rose 1.4% between October – November 2020 and increased 1.7% November 2019 – November 2020. Prepared animal feeds increased by 7.3% in the last month and saw a 3.6% increase in the last twelve months. Disinfectants (non agricultural, industrial and institutional) rose 6.2% since October 2020 and increased 10.8% since November 2019. Hardwood lumber increased 4.5% in the last month and increased by 7.3% in the last twelve months. Metals and metal products rose 1.3% from October 2020 and increased 4.7% from November 2019. Nonferrous wire and cable saw a 1.2% increase in the last month and rose by 5.4% in the last twelve months. Wiring devices increased 3.3% since October 2020 and saw a 6.0% rise from November 2019. Tobacco products, including stemmed and re-dried, saw a 1.7% increase in the last month and an increase of 6.4% in the last twelve months.

BLS PPI Annual Inflation Rate Averages Table for Selected Commodities Through November 2020

 PPI CodeBLS PPI Category Description1 Month Nov. '20YTD Nov. '201 Year Nov. '203 Year Nov. '205 Year Nov. '2010 Year Nov. '2020 Year Nov. '20
01FARM PRODUCTS3.1%2.7%4.2%1.9%0.8%1.0%2.6%
011Fruits & melons, fresh/dry vegs. & nuts-10.7%-2.5%-1.3%0.3%1.2%3.9%2.9%
012Grains8.4%12.4%10.9%9.3%3.7%-0.4%3.7%
013Slaughter livestock-0.5%-0.3%1.4%-1.1%-2.3%0.7%2.3%
014Slaughter poultry10.1%-7.9%-1.4%-3.0%0.1%-0.8%2.1%
015Raw cotton4.3%6.4%6.0%-1.7%1.1%-1.9%0.3%
016Raw milk18.6%-6.7%-0.6%2.3%1.9%0.7%2.1%
017Chicken eggs-1.8%1.3%-13.2%-8.2%-10.2%5.0%2.3%
018Hay, hayseeds and oilseeds9.8%22.4%22.9%6.7%5.4%1.8%4.1%
02PROCESSED FOODS AND FEEDS1.4%1.7%1.7%1.5%0.8%1.5%2.4%
021Cereal and bakery products0.0%0.3%0.2%1.2%0.8%1.5%2.4%
022Meats, poultry, and fish2.0%0.4%0.1%0.9%-0.3%1.2%2.2%
023Dairy products2.9%1.6%1.3%2.1%1.4%1.5%2.2%
024Processed fruits and vegetables0.8%3.8%3.6%1.8%1.7%2.1%2.7%
025Sugar and confectionery0.6%-1.5%-1.1%0.9%0.5%1.1%2.7%
026Beverages and beverage materials0.6%1.9%2.1%1.8%1.5%1.6%2.0%
027Fats and oils2.9%9.1%9.3%0.4%1.2%0.9%4.4%
028Miscellaneous processed foods-0.2%1.3%1.3%1.0%0.3%1.5%2.0%
029Prepared animal feeds3.6%6.4%7.3%3.3%1.7%1.7%3.4%
03TEXTILE PRODUCTS AND APPAREL0.2%-0.5%-0.7%0.9%0.8%1.3%1.0%
031Synthetic fibers0.3%-4.2%-4.3%0.8%0.9%1.4%0.6%
032Processed yarns and threads0.7%-2.1%-2.1%0.1%0.2%0.5%1.2%
033Greige fabrics0.1%-1.4%-1.4%0.0%-0.2%0.5%0.9%
034Finished fabrics0.2%1.6%1.4%2.2%1.3%1.7%1.5%
038Apparel & other fabricated textile prods0.2%0.2%0.2%0.9%1.0%1.7%1.0%
039Miscellaneous textile products/services-0.5%-0.2%-1.0%-3.3%-1.6%-0.4%0.6%
04HIDES, SKINS, LEATHER, AND RELATED PRODUCTS6.1%0.2%1.2%-3.7%-3.5%-1.2%0.3%
041Hides and skins, incl. cattle28.0%1.7%5.8%-11.1%-10.9%-6.1%-2.0%
042Leather3.5%-2.6%-2.5%-6.5%-5.7%-3.0%-0.3%
043Footwear0.0%-0.2%0.0%1.1%1.2%2.6%1.9%
044Other leather and related products0.0%1.1%1.1%1.5%1.2%2.0%1.5%
05FUELS AND RELATED PRODUCTS AND POWER4.2%-9.3%-9.2%-3.6%0.3%-2.0%1.6%
051Coal0.9%-4.0%-3.1%-0.4%0.3%0.2%4.2%
053Gas fuels40.7%18.0%12.5%-4.2%1.9%-5.2%-1.9%
055Utility natural gas24.1%21.6%21.0%5.7%4.9%1.0%1.9%
056Crude petroleum (domestic production)0.5%-33.9%-31.6%-12.1%-1.1%-6.3%0.5%
057Petroleum products, refined0.7%-24.1%-23.8%-8.5%-1.2%-3.9%2.0%
058Asphalt and other petroleum and coal products, n.e.c.7.5%4.0%-4.5%1.8%1.0%-4.6%5.6%
06CHEMICALS AND ALLIED PRODUCTS0.1%-0.6%-1.4%-0.4%1.4%1.4%3.2%
061Industrial chemicals0.8%-6.0%-7.0%-4.5%-0.5%-1.4%2.9%
062Paints and allied products-0.2%1.7%1.7%3.7%2.5%2.3%3.3%
063Drugs and pharmaceuticals-0.5%1.8%1.6%2.6%4.1%4.8%4.4%
064Fats and oils, inedible2.6%8.3%9.0%-1.6%3.3%-1.0%6.3%
065Agricultural chemicals and chemical products1.5%3.1%1.9%1.9%-0.9%0.6%2.7%
066Plastic resins and materials-0.7%3.0%-0.2%-2.1%0.4%0.7%2.4%
067Other chemicals and allied products0.0%-0.3%0.0%1.1%1.2%1.6%2.0%
07RUBBER AND PLASTIC PRODUCTS0.3%0.2%-0.2%0.6%1.1%1.3%2.2%
071Rubber and rubber products0.2%-0.1%-0.8%0.5%0.7%0.8%2.2%
072Plastic products0.3%0.3%0.1%0.7%1.2%1.5%2.2%
08LUMBER AND WOOD PRODUCTS-5.1%13.1%13.0%4.3%3.8%3.4%2.2%
081Lumber-12.7%26.4%25.9%5.5%6.2%4.9%2.2%
082Millwork-0.2%7.7%7.8%4.6%3.7%3.2%2.4%
083Plywood-7.6%35.0%35.2%6.2%6.0%4.1%2.7%
084Other wood products0.7%2.8%3.0%3.8%2.5%2.3%1.7%
085Logs, bolts, timber, pulpwood, woodchips and other roundwood products-0.2%2.4%2.5%0.1%0.5%1.4%1.4%
086Prefabricated wood buildings & components-0.9%6.0%6.0%3.8%3.5%3.0%2.6%
087Treated wood and contract wood preserving-8.7%11.7%11.3%5.2%3.0%3.6%2.4%
09PULP,PAPER, AND ALLIED PRODUCTS0.3%2.3%2.5%0.8%1.1%0.9%1.8%
091Pulp, paper, and prod., ex. bldg. paper0.3%0.9%0.9%0.0%0.7%0.6%1.7%
092Building paper & building board mill prods.1.5%61.5%70.3%11.0%11.3%7.5%4.7%
094Publications, printed matter & printing material0.3%1.1%1.1%2.0%1.3%0.9%
10METALS AND METAL PRODUCTS1.3%3.9%4.7%2.3%3.4%0.8%2.9%
101Iron and steel1.9%2.1%2.8%0.3%3.8%-0.7%3.1%
102Nonferrous metals2.8%11.6%13.4%4.3%5.9%1.5%4.0%
103Metal containers0.2%0.2%0.2%2.1%1.8%0.2%2.2%
104Hardware0.0%1.6%1.8%2.1%1.7%1.7%2.1%
105Plumbing fixtures and fittings0.0%2.0%3.4%3.3%2.3%2.2%2.4%
106Heating equipment0.1%-0.1%1.0%3.2%2.6%2.4%3.0%
107Fabricated structural metal products0.0%0.3%0.9%2.7%2.2%1.7%2.5%
108Miscellaneous metal products0.1%0.7%0.7%2.3%1.4%1.1%1.7%
11MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT0.1%0.9%1.0%1.7%1.2%1.0%0.8%
111Agricultural machinery and equipment-0.2%0.8%2.1%2.2%1.7%1.7%2.3%
112Construction machinery and equipment0.1%1.2%1.3%2.3%1.7%2.1%2.3%
113Metalworking machinery and equipment-0.1%0.7%0.8%1.7%1.4%1.6%1.4%
114General purpose machinery and equipment0.2%1.6%1.7%2.7%2.2%2.3%2.6%
115Electronic computers and computer equipment0.4%-1.9%-1.5%-2.4%-2.2%-3.1%-5.8%
116Special industry machinery and equipment0.1%1.2%1.1%1.8%1.5%1.3%1.4%
117Electrical machinery and equipment0.3%0.5%0.7%1.2%0.7%0.4%0.0%
118Miscellaneous instruments0.1%1.3%1.5%1.7%1.8%1.7%1.7%
119Miscellaneous machinery-0.1%0.7%0.6%1.6%0.8%1.0%1.7%
12FURNITURE AND HOUSEHOLD DURABLES0.1%1.2%1.5%2.3%1.7%1.6%1.5%
121Household furniture0.3%0.7%1.1%1.9%1.8%1.8%1.9%
122Commercial furniture0.2%1.7%2.2%3.3%2.4%2.1%2.1%
123Floor coverings0.7%0.0%0.1%1.4%1.1%1.4%2.1%
124Household appliances-0.3%2.2%2.3%2.8%1.7%1.4%0.9%
125Home electronic equipment0.0%1.0%1.0%1.1%0.7%0.1%-1.5%
126Other household durable goods0.0%1.1%1.3%1.4%1.1%1.2%1.3%
13NONMETALIC MINERAL PRODUCTS0.2%1.7%1.6%2.4%2.3%2.4%3.0%
131Glass0.1%1.3%1.2%1.9%1.9%2.0%1.1%
132Concrete ingredients and related products0.0%3.5%3.5%3.4%3.7%3.3%3.7%
133Concrete products-0.9%2.0%2.0%2.8%2.9%2.8%3.2%
134Clay construction products ex. refractories0.0%2.0%2.0%1.6%1.1%0.8%1.2%
135Refractories0.8%0.9%0.8%4.4%2.4%2.2%3.4%
136Asphalt felts and coatings2.8%2.6%2.6%4.2%2.4%1.2%4.5%
137Gypsum products4.0%3.7%3.7%0.8%2.8%4.8%3.4%
138Glass containers0.0%1.7%1.7%2.2%1.6%1.6%2.6%
139Other nonmetallic minerals0.3%0.0%-0.3%1.3%0.8%1.8%3.0%
14TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT0.1%0.7%0.7%0.8%0.8%1.3%1.2%
141Motor vehicles and equipment0.1%0.5%0.5%0.6%0.7%1.2%0.7%
142Aircraft and aircraft equipment0.1%1.2%1.3%1.4%1.2%1.6%2.3%
143Ships and boats-0.1%1.0%1.1%1.7%1.4%1.5%2.5%
144Railroad equipment0.0%0.2%0.2%0.3%0.0%1.0%2.1%
149Transportation equipment, n.e.c.0.1%0.3%0.4%1.4%1.7%1.2%1.3%
15MISCELLANEOUS PRODUCTS0.3%2.8%2.8%3.0%2.8%2.5%2.5%
151Toys, sporting goods, small arms, etc.0.2%0.2%1.1%1.7%0.9%1.2%1.2%
152Tobacco products, incl. stemmed & redried1.7%6.3%6.4%6.1%6.1%5.5%4.6%
153Notions0.0%0.3%0.7%0.5%1.3%2.0%2.5%
154Photographic equipment and supplies-0.9%0.9%0.9%2.8%2.0%2.5%1.3%
155Mobile homes-5.7%8.6%9.6%6.7%5.5%4.4%4.0%
156Medical, surgical & personal aid devices-0.1%1.2%1.1%1.1%1.0%1.0%1.2%
157Other industrial safety equipment0.0%2.4%2.4%1.9%0.8%1.4%1.6%
159Other miscellaneous products0.2%2.0%1.6%3.4%2.6%1.9%1.9%

BLS PPI vs. CPI Supermarket Inflation Spread Comparison Through November 2020

Inflation Rate PeriodPPI InflationCPI InflationDIFF: PPI vs. CPI
11 Months Ended Nov. '201.21%1.77%-0.56%
10 Months Ended Oct. '201.08%2.17%-1.10%
9 Months Ended Sep. '200.40%2.21%-1.80%
8 Months Ended Aug. '200.47%2.65%-2.18%
7 Months Ended Jul '200.66%2.54%-1.88%
6 Months Ended June '200.78%2.83%-2.05%
5 Months Ended May '201.62%2.69%-1.07%
4 Months Ended April '20-0.33%2.41%-2.74%
3 Months Ended March '200.04%0.87%-0.83%
2 Months Ended February '20-0.10%0.63%-0.73%
1 Month Ended January '200.45%0.27%0.18%
12 Months Ended December '191.29%0.85%0.44%
12 Months Ended December '182.85%0.41%2.44%
12 Months Ended December '172.85%0.47%2.39%
12 Months Ended December '161.32%0.10%1.22%
12 Months Ended December '150.19%0.11%0.08%
12 Months Ended December '145.07%2.46%2.61%
12 Months Ended December '132.04%0.14%1.90%
12 Months Ended December '122.72%1.00%1.71%
12 Months Ended December '115.20%4.07%1.13%
12 Months Ended December '102.92%0.90%2.03%
3 Year Average Ended Dec. '192.33%0.57%1.76%
5 Year Average Ended Dec. '191.70%0.39%1.31%
10 Year Average Ended Dec. '192.65%1.05%1.60%

Note: The above inflation rates reflects a supermarket with all departments on LIFO, including produce, meat, seafood, dairy, deli, alcoholic beverages & tobacco.

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